The pundits are going to bore me for the next few weeks, asking stupid questions about when Gingrich or Santorum are going to drop out of the race against Romney.
They don’t even want to talk about Ron Paul… As usual… In fact, Ron Paul took 40% of the vote in Virginia, with Romney taking 60% because they were the only two on the ballot:
Romney only took 60% of the vote, against *ONLY* Ron Paul? o_O
Nobody’s getting out of the race. There’s no reason for them to. Ron Paul has already said he’s going all the way to the Convention. Gingrich and Santorum both have billionaire sugar daddies funding their campaigns. They’re running on someone else’s money. There is no reason for *ANY* of the candidates to suspend their campaigns.. AT ALL.
By now, Republicans are famous for obstructionist tactics. Mostly in Congress, but they employ those techniques in lots of situations.
For instance, when you ask them why Romney wouldn’t denounce Limbaugh’s statements, they say that he’s not going to go off-message and talk about distracting things, yet, when he has the chance to speak, he talks about how tall the trees are, and all other sorts of nonsense, when he could plainly say that he disagrees with what Limbaugh said in the same amount of breath, but that never happens.
When you ask them why Santorum says the nonsense he says about contraception, they tell women to hold aspirin between their legs so they don’t get pregnant.
When Obama says “Pass This Bill, Right Now”, they say “No”, but they don’t offer anything at all that will get teachers, construction workers, and war veterans jobs.
I could go on and on, but we’re all used to their tomfoolery by now. It’s boring.
My point is that they apply the same techniques to themselves that they use against the Democrats.
This is why the pundits need to STFU and talk about something else BESIDES when these guys are going to drop out of the race.
Santorum and Gingrich are not campaigning to win. They’re campaigning to BLOCK. ROMNEY. FROM. WINNING.
If you look at the current standings, Romney has 415 delegates:
If he wins every single delegate from now on (which he most definitely will not), he can’t possibly clinch until April 03, 2012, in Wisconsin, where he would finally have 1,173 delegates.
It’s currently March 08, 2012, so that guarantees a full month of Republican tomfoolery and declines in favorability ratings before Romney even gets to stop fighting other Republicans and focus on President Obama.
His next chance after that is April 24, where there are 231 delegates up for grabs, and then he would have to wait until May 08, when 132 delegates come online, so we can probably look forward to not one, but TWO more months of Republican muckraking before they turn the corner to focus on the general election.
The waiting game isn’t even Romney’s main problem… The fact of the matter is that if he doesn’t secure the required 1,144 delegates before the Republican National Convention, he has *ZERO*, I repeat *ZERO* claim to the nomination, and the Republicans can decide to send someone else against Obama in what they call an Open, Contested, or Brokered Convention, which is what I said three months ago, back in December, 2011 => billcammack.com/2011/12/11/brokered-conventions/:
A brokered convention is a situation in United States politics in which there are not enough delegates ‘won’ during the presidential primary and caucus elections for a single candidate to have a pre-existing majority, during the first official vote for a political party’s presidential candidate at its nominating convention.
Once the first ballot, or vote, has occurred, and no candidate has a majority of the delegates’ votes, the convention is then considered brokered; thereafter, the nomination is decided through a process of alternating political horse-trading, and additional re-votes. In this circumstance, all regular delegates (who, previously, were pledged to the candidate who had won their respective state’s primary or caucus election) are “released,” and are able to switch their allegiance to a different candidate before the next round of balloting. It is hoped that this ‘freedom’ will result in a re-vote resulting in a clear majority of delegates for one candidate.
This means that if Gingrich and Santorum can block Romney from making it to 1,144 delegates, all the millions of dollars he and his Super PAC spent were wasted, because they are not obliged to nominate ANY. ONE. OF. THEM.
This opens the door for Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Paul Ryan, Haley Barbour, Mitch Daniels, or even SARAH PALIN to be the 2012 Republican nominee for PotUS.
Eyes On The Prize
So the actual goal here is *NOT* for Gingrich, Paul, or Santorum to arrive at the convention with more delegates than Romney, it’s for Romney to arrive short of the delegates he needs to clinch, and for the other candidates to have bargaining power at the Convention.
On top of that, they’re not spending their own money… If it weren’t for the new Super PAC rules that allow infinite funding of candidates’ campaigns, neither Gingrich nor Santorum would even be running anymore. They would have gone broke and had to step to the left.
As it stands, both of them are funded all the way to the Convention. Ron Paul has no reason to exit the race either.
Having said all that.. I don’t actually BELIEVE that Romney’s team is going to fall short on securing the necessary delegates before the Convention, which is August 30th, in Tampa, Florida.
I believe Romney will make it, and he’ll be nominated, and he always was the only real Republican candidate in this race, but another two or three months of his own self-defeating sound bites and of Gingrich and Santorum talking trash about him, and Romney will arrive to the general election as a severely weakened and flawed candidate.
What’s actually worse for him is that the only reason I considered him a viable candidate is because he’s flip-flopped on so many topics that there’s just as much video footage of him talking about one side of things as there is of him talking about the exact opposite side.
Romney’s the only one that could turn around to the American people and say “hehe I was just kidding about all that nonsense we were talking about during the nomination process! :D haha I never believed any of that. I just said it to appease the yahoos so they’d vote for me, and now, here’s what I’m REALLY going to do as President…” and he could have made it back to the center and gotten Independents to vote for him.
The longer he has to prove that he’s more radical than Santorum and Gingrich, the shorter the amount of time will be available for him to sprint back to the center, and the more video footage there will be of him saying ridiculous things with no factual foundation, which will be used against him incessantly in the general election.
So anyway, pundits.. Please stop speculating over when Gingrich or Santorum are going to exit the race. They aren’t. So long as their sugar daddies are paying the bills, they’re going to be right up in every single contest, hoping to block Romney from clinching, and hoping that *THEY* will be the one nominated at a Brokered Convention.
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