Scalia May Be The Final Nail In The Coffin Of The 2016 Republican Presidential Election Dreams

With Antonin Scalia dying, all of a sudden the American people aren’t voting only for a President, but also for a Supreme Court Justice.

Bill Cammack

I’ve wanted to write about the 2016 USA Presidential Election process for quite some time now, but I just couldn’t do it because what’s going on is so silly.

I mean I can only call it “silly”. It isn’t even a strong enough situation to call it stupid or contrived or anything that indicates that anyone put any rational thought into what’s currently going on.

I really couldn’t guess what was going to happen with all this tomfoolery until U.S. Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia died yesterday.

Who’s Running For President?

According to nytimes.com/interactive/2016/us/elections/2016-presidential-candidates.html?_r=0, one of eight (8) people will be the next President of the United States (POTUS):

Clinton, Sanders, Trump, Bush, Cruz, Rubio, Carson, Kasich.

That’s it.

That’s the entire set of people that we have to select from.

I’m not even going to talk about the people that were just thrown at the wall to see if they stuck. They never had a snowball’s chance in hell, but someone decided it would be a good idea to try to nominate Christie, Huckabee, Jindal, Perry, Santorum, and Walker. SMH. The NYT even has a picture of 47% Romney on their page. Past Ridiculous.

Normally in an election, there’s someone that you feel SHOULD win unless something odd occurs. There’s someone that you can actually ENVISION as the next POTUS and you feel like the odds are in their favor.

Of course.. heh heh… 😀 I thought that Hillary was going to be POTUS before I had ever heard of anyone named Barack Obama! 😀 hahaha (The video was posted to YT in 2012, but I had recorded it before the 2008 Presidential Election.)

However.. Once I figured out what time it was, I felt like current President Obama was going to win, which he did, and then when I saw the weak attempt the Republicans made to run someone against him in 2012, I figured he was going to win again, which he did.

So now.. 8 years after I thought Hillary Clinton was going to win, she has an actual chance to win, in 2016.

Strategy

I’ve been trying to figure out the Republican strategy this entire time.

They keep sending buffoons and zealots in an environment where the people that like those kinds of people are dying off quickly.

Meanwhile, they regularly insult the rapidly-growing pool of voters every chance they get.

It’s funny how Republicans are the first ones to complain about who someone wants to have sex with but then they’re the first ones to get caught in bathroom stalls trying to get laid by the same people they’re complaining about.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Larry_Craig_scandal

“The Larry Craig scandal was an incident that began on June 11, 2007, with the arrest of Larry Craig—who at the time was a Republican United States Senator from Idaho—for lewd conduct in a men’s restroom at the Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport. Craig later entered a guilty plea to a lesser charge of disorderly conduct on August 8.[1]

As a result of the controversy surrounding his arrest, subsequent guilty plea, and pressure from his fellow Republicans,[2][3][4] Craig announced his intention to resign from the Senate at a news conference on September 1, which was to become effective on September 30. After Craig’s efforts to withdraw his guilty plea failed, on October 4, he released a statement refusing to resign from the Senate. Craig did not run for re-election in 2008 and the incident effectively ended his political career.”

So in order to get votes, they claim to be anti- the very same community that they’re an active part of.

This means that that community sees them as hypocrites and the opposite community sees them as liars.

So I haven’t been able to figure out their strategy because all they succeed in doing is making themselves look worse and worse.

As far as the Democrats, I don’t know a lot of people that give a damn about politics because it never changes *anything* around the way, but *all* of the Democrats that I know and have listened to (Not “spoken to”, because I can’t contribute to this conversation since it doesn’t make a difference to me and I haven’t researched any of it.) are backing Bernie Sanders, while the people who would like to see the first female President are backing Hillary Clinton.

Fight Club

The reason I was finally able to write something about this is because with Antonin Scalia dying, all of a sudden the American people aren’t voting only for a President, but also for a Supreme Court Justice.

And not just *any* Supreme Court Justice. The one that’s going to make all of the deciding votes until the next one of them dies.

President Obama has already made two successful Supreme Court appointments:

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barack_Obama_Supreme_Court_candidates

“President Barack Obama has made two successful appointments to the Supreme Court of the United States. The first was that of Judge Sonia Sotomayor[1] to fill the vacancy created by the retirement of Associate Justice David H. Souter.[2] Sotomayor was confirmed by the United States Senate on August 6, 2009, by a vote of 68–31. The second appointment was that of Solicitor General Elena Kagan to replace John Paul Stevens. Kagan was confirmed by the United States Senate on August 5, 2010, by a vote of 63–37.

President Obama has stated that he plans to nominate a third person to the Supreme Court,[3] following the death of Justice Antonin Scalia in February 2016.[4] Speculation has also focused on the potential retirement of 82-year-old Ruth Bader Ginsburg,[5][6] who has suffered in the past from pancreatic cancer.[7][8]”

So with the exit of Scalia, that leaves the Supreme Court split with 4 liberal and 4 conservative Justices.

This next appointment will make it once again 5-4, but the question is whether it will go back to the conservatives or give the advantage to the liberals?

Because of this.. The Republicans, who squander NO OPPORTUNITY to make themselves look like creeps have already announced that they’re going to block any nominations the current President offers, before they’ve heard ANY names at all of potential nominees and almost before the body is cold.

They would have beaten the “cold body” test if they would have known sooner that Antonin Scalia had died.

This creates a lose-lose situation for the Republicans, who are already looking shabby to begin with and are about to embark on a year-long campaign against themselves.

Where You Fron, Holnes?

The main problem for the Republicans is what I mentioned earlier. There are quite a few people that align themselves as conservative when it comes to business, but they align themselves as liberals when they’re in a bathroom stall trying to have sex with somebody.

The Republican problem in this election cycle is that they have a mole.. A plant.. Donald Trump isn’t actually a Republican and he’s setting them up for failure.

Who is it that Trump talks the most trash about?

Mexicans.

Who are the only two dudes capable of winning the Republican nomination other than Trump?

Two Cuban Guys.

latinpost.com/articles/111837/20160127/msnbc-chris-matthews-gop-debate-meaningless-with-cubans-marco-rubio-ted-cruz.htm

MSNBC host Chris Matthews used Donald Trump’s decision to boycott the final GOP presidential debate before the Iowa caucuses to rip the event’s sponsor, Fox News, and two of Trump’s main challengers, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz.

“Who’s going to watch a debate between the two Cuban guys?” the “Hardball” anchor asked on Jan. 26, in reference to the two lawmakers, both of whom have a Cuban-American heritage. “Who’s gonna watch a debate between Rubio — Marco Rubio — and Ted Cruz? Who cares?”

Last November, the liberal host had already gone after the two senators by suggesting that they could not be accurately described as Hispanic but should instead be deemed “Cuban nationals,” News Busters recalled.

The reason why I bring this up is because you can show a picture of a New York Puerto Rican to someone in California and they will say that they’re looking at a Mexican because that’s the only format of Hispanic that they’re aware of.

So every time Trump talks about “Mexicans”, he’s actually slickly talking about Cruz and Rubio because nobody he’s talking to recognizes any difference between Mexicans, Cubans, Puerto Ricans, Dominicans, or any other type of Hispanic.

It’s like how there are so many varieties of Asians but most people can only point out Chinese, Japanese, and maybe Korean if you have a K-Town in your city where you go to get barbecue or they own the weave store in your neighborhood.

So if Trump isn’t nominated, the Republicans will lose based on the anti-Hispanic sentiment that Trump has rallied.

Oh.. Not to mention that Cruz is going to keep getting hammered on the “birther” argument that NOT ONLY is he a Cuban, but he’s a Canadian.

thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/269281-trump-supporters-file-federal-lawsuit-challenging-cruzs

Donald Trump supporters have filed a lawsuit challenging the eligibility of one of his primary rivals, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas), to run for president.

The lawsuit, filed Feb. 3 at a district court in Alabama, seeks a judgment “declaring that Rafael Edward Cruz is ineligible to qualify/run/seek and be elected to the Office of the President of the United States of America” due to his Canadian birth.

Cruz was born in Calgary, Canada, to an American mother.

So you can forget about Cruz and Rubio. They never had a chance, just like Jindal didn’t. It’s all nonsense.

While we’re at it, let’s exclude the Republican token, Carson.

Carson will go the way of Herman Cain in a minute.

Benedict Arnold

I don’t even know who Kasich is, so forget about him.

Bush is down the tubes because he keeps refusing to admit what everyone else has known for years about the lies about weapons of mass destruction. The more he tries to play that off, the more he looks like either an idiot or a liar. Non-Starter.

So all that leaves for the Republicans is Trump! 😀 haha Except Trump isn’t a Republican. He’s campaigning for the MNCs.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multinational_corporation

A multinational corporation or world wide enterprise[1] is an organization that owns or controls production of goods or services in one or more countries other than their home country.[2] It can also be referred as an international corporation, a “transnational corporation”, or a stateless corporation.[3]

But let’s say for instance that Trump isn’t nominated. He said at the very first debate that he wouldn’t pledge not to run against the Republican nominee. This means that the Republicans have to either nominate Trump or lose to the Democrats because Trump is going to take all of his supporters to a different party and split the Republican vote.

So they either have to nominate a non-Republican or force the election of a Democrat.

Trump isn’t going to turn around after not getting nominated and say “Remember that Mexican that y’all just nominated?.. I was just kidding about the birther thing. Vote for him because he isn’t going to let his people flood into the USA when he’s elected.”

If you think I’m kidding, ask anyone you know from the flyover states what they know about Cuba. They’re going to tell you Elián González, Scarface, and Fidel Castro, and Scarface is actually Al Pacino.

Coke And A Smile?

The Democrats aren’t much better off this cycle.

Based on what happened in New Hampshire, where Sanders crushed Clinton 60% to 38%, yet Hillary snagged the same amount of delegates when the dust settled, nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/why-sanders-new-hampshire-victory-wasn-t-so-huge-n516066
What’s probably going to happen is that Sanders will have more Democrats that want him to be nominated, but Hillary will be nominated because of superdelegates, which are unelected delegates who are free to support any candidate for the presidential nomination at the party’s national convention.

Either way, the Republican nominee is either going to have to run against Clinton or Sanders if Trump is nominated, OR he’s going to have to run against Clinton or Sanders *AND* Trump if Trump doesn’t get the Republican nomination.

This is why the Antonin Scalia death is rather untimely for the Republicans.

President Obama currently has 339 days left before the next President takes over. -> “Time left until Obama leaves office”.

The longest time it’s taken to confirm a Supreme Court Justice is 125 days. Louis Brandeis in 1916.

nytimes.com/interactive/2016/02/13/us/how-long-does-it-take-to-confirm-a-supreme-court-nominee.html

Even Clarence Thomas only had to wait 99 days with that pubic hair in the Coca-Cola thing.

This means that the Republicans are either going to announce to the public every single day for essentially the next full year that they’re anti- whatever President Obama has to say, or they’re going to capitulate.

If they block the nomination, millions of people who didn’t give a damn enough to vote are going to be incentivized to vote anti-Republican, which will mean either Clinton, Sanders, or Trump.

If they DON’T block the nomination, they will incentivize their current voter base to not bother showing up on election day at all because they’ll understand all the trash the Republicans have been talking for the past 8 years is bullshit.

Lose-Lose.

Either way, there’s approximately a 75% chance that the 5-4 edge in the Supreme Court is going to go to the liberals.

President Obama selects = Liberal [50%]
Clinton or Sanders selects = Liberal [25%]
Republican 2016 winner selects = Conservative [25%]

Meanwhile.. Even with the consistent Republican obstructionism, remember those gas prices you were BITCHING AND MOANING ABOUT??? 😀 hahaha

politifact.com/virginia/statements/2015/jan/18/bobby-scott/bobby-scott-low-gas-prices-are-result-obama-polici/

Slim Pickens

So we’ve already had 7 years of President Obama making things happen regardless of Republican nonsense.

What makes you think this year is going to be any different? 😀

The Republicans could have coasted into the election as if they haven’t been trying their damnedest to make President Obama look bad AND FAILED MISERABLY AT THAT, but now they have to kick the dead horse of obstructionism and remind people that their attempts have been futile.

They’ve already begun the attempt to block the new Supreme Court nomination. They can’t back down from that position now. It’s too late.

If they attempt to block and FAIL, they look ridiculous to Republicans while incentivizing more Democrats and Independents to vote against them in the election = LOSE.

If they attempt to block and are successful, they look good to Republicans, gain ZERO extra voters because they’ve been attempting these tactics for the past eight years, and they incentivize more Democrats and Independents to vote against them in the election = LOSE.

If they’re successful with the block and then lose the election to Clinton or Sanders, they *STILL* end up with a 5-4 liberal Supreme Court = LOSE.

If they’re successful with the block and then don’t nominate Trump, he runs anyway, splits the vote, Clinton or Sanders wins, and 5-4 Supreme Court = LOSE.

The Republicans’ only chance at this point is nominating Trump and having him somehow win after insulting and alienating as much of the voting population as he possibly could, and he still has several months to make himself look worse.

The chances of that are slim and none.

And “Slim” left town. 😀

11 thoughts on “Scalia May Be The Final Nail In The Coffin Of The 2016 Republican Presidential Election Dreams”

    1. You’re welcome, Betty! 😀

      I haven’t had anything I wanted to say about these shenanigans until just now.

      This is a pivotal event.

      There are lots of people who aren’t enchanted with *ANY* of the choices for President, but they’re definitely interested in which way the 5-4 Supreme Court leans.

      They already have a bunch of potential nominees. This is going to be interesting. 😀

      http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/2016/02/13/scalia-replacement-obama-nominees/80357134/

  1. You nailed it. Once upon a time we could expect a modicum of decorum from politicians. Sure they were still liars, but they feared being caught enough to stretch the truth without demolishing the fourth wall, along with their credibility.

    Now they seem to know the masses are sleeping, it is all marketing, and no one bothers to put on the affectations of class. I like Rand Paul, not so much his politics, as his seeming authenticity. It will be difficult to want to vote this cycle.

    1. Your last line is exactly why I needed to write this time, Rebecca. 😀

      “It will be difficult to want to vote this cycle.”

      A LOT of people feel that way, but as soon as they start hearing Republicans pipe up about what they aren’t going to allow, that’s going to prompt those people to NOT want a Republican as POTUS, thus selecting the 5-4 Supreme Court Justice replacement, so people who didn’t specifically care for the Democrats who are running will still go and vote for them, specifically so they can vote anti-Republican.

  2. Great article Bill! Have you ever considered that the buffoonery of the Republican party has actually been on purpose. Could it be that the said multinational corps want to derail the 2 party system but need to make it seem as if the GOP is imploding! Why not use the full power of the electoral college- delegates and super delegates are the key! This to me, is just the next chess move. We’ve seen this before in a different context going back to the Papa Bush administration allowing the UN to dictate US foreign policy. Maybe it’s just me, but once the MCs can dictate/ manipulate SCOTUS through this election- the three card monty is offcial! It’s a brave new world out there.

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