ok.. I’ve seen enough Republican tomfoolery to drop my overall prediction for how the 2012 Presidential election is going to go. >:D

As far as my predictions for New Hampshire, I was right that Romney was going to win (everybody knew that). I had hoped that Huntsman would edge out Paul, but he didn’t. I had thought that Santorum would be ahead of Gingrich, but he wasn’t. Perry was at the bottom, where he should have been, since he didn’t even campaign in New Hampshire, and Bachmann got 343 votes, even though she already dropped out of the race.

Here’s what I think is going to happen, going forward, which should result in the reelection of President Obama:

Gingrich

Gingrich is upset because he thought he was going to get over with “Thou shalt not speak ill of another Republican”, and Romney was like “**** That! >:D”

According to the pundits, Iowa television was inundated with negative ads about Gingrich, which I’ve spoken about, previously.

If this had been 1975, their money would have been spent. Since it isn’t, those videos will live on on YouTube ad infinitum. They were used in New Hampshire. They will be used in South Carolina. They will be used by Democrats. They will be used with Green Eggs And Ham… Forever.

Gingrich couldn’t do anything about this because he didn’t have any money in his campaign to match the Super PAC that’s backing Romney’s play… However… *NOW*, some dude gave Gingrich 5 million dollars to go berserk with ads in South Carolina. >:D

This money will be spent trashing Romney’s name and achievements by calling him a “Vulture Capitalist” (instead of Venture Capitalist, haha so funny! :D) because of how he’s made his money by taking over companies and making decisions for them that have resulted in LOTS of job losses, while also creating jobs.

This campaign will be extremely effective to make Romney look bad, because Romney won’t show people the documents that compare the number of people who LOST JOBS to the number of people who gained them because of his company.

Similarly, Romney doesn’t want to reveal his tax data, which, of course, would indicate whether or not he’s still profiting from people losing their jobs.

So, Gingrich, himself, is finished. Kaput. Any time he makes a move, people are going to break out the YouTube videos that Romney’s Super PAC and Ron Paul’s team made about him, and then he’s going to stay with a very low percentage of votes in every single primary and caucus.

He already knows this, so he’s on a kamikaze mission to take Romney down with him, which will result in even MORE useful material for the Democrats to use in the general election, since, like I said from the giddyap, Romney was the only actual candidate that the Republicans fielded this cycle, and was always going to be their nominee.

Paul

I have to give the Ron Paul supporters their props, because they’ve really sustained their candidate and kept him in good position, even though neither Democratic nor Republican pundits wanted to talk about him this entire time. They have to talk about Paul *NOW*, or else they’ll look like they don’t know what the **** they’re doing.

Last I checked, Paul didn’t have enough money for television ads in Florida, so he was skipping campaigning there, and going straight to the next state in the order. That might have changed after his strong 2nd place showing in New Hampshire, if he received an infusion of cash.

Either way, he’s running a week-to-week operation, and he really shouldn’t be able to keep up with the war machine that Romney already has available, fully-oiled and properly running, so I can’t imagine Paul receiving the Republican nomination.

Paul’s role, going forward, will be a factual dismantling of Romney’s position, which, again, will add to the ammunition that the Democrats have for the general election.

Santorum

I kept telling you people that there WAS. NO. SANTORUM. SURGE! >:D

Santorum received a religious endorsement in Iowa from a group that doesn’t have any props in New Hampshire. Case Closed.

He was polling at 10% before he got that endorsement. He “surged” because 57% of the people that voted in the Iowa caucus identified themselves as Evangelical Christians. He went to New Hampshire and received his requisite 10% of the vote, just like I said.

The pundits don’t want to talk about this, because then they’d have to talk about the issue of Romney and Huntsman being Mormons, which obviously wasn’t a problem in New Hampshire, as they ranked #1 and #3 out of the six remaining candidates, with Santorum ranking #5, because Perry didn’t even campaign in NH and ended up #6.

Santorum’s role going forward is going to be to split the religious vote with Perry, nullifying both of their opportunities to make any real waves.

His other role is going to be to keep spewing wrong-side-of-history statements that are going to make Republicans in general look bad to independents.

Other than that, he shouldn’t have much effect on the inevitable nominee, Romney, because he’s not spending money on negative television/YouTube advertisements about him.

Santorum has no money and no boots-on-the-ground infrastucture, so he shouldn’t be going very far past South Carolina.

Perry

Perry should have quit when he had the chance, after Iowa! :D haha

The *ONLY* reason Perry should stick around is that he has religious backing from the Bible Belt. If that doesn’t create a situation-based “surge” like Santorum received, he needs to pack it up for real and go back to Texas and stay there.

If he doesn’t do well in South Carolina, Perry needs to just quit, because all he’s doing is splitting the religious vote with Santorum. Nobody, Nobody, Nobody, Nobody, NOBODY wants to see him try to debate Barack Obama! :D HAHAHA

Perry got basically no votes in Iowa, he got almost absolutely no votes in New Hampshire.. If he doesn’t receive a massive turnout in South Carolina, it’s going to be way too late to BEGIN getting votes / securing delagates at the FOURTH contest in the series.

Huntsman

Even though I’ve known this whole time that they were going to send Romney to the big dance, I had been hoping against hope that Huntsman would be able to sway enough voters to be competitive for the nomination.

I’m not sure that pulling 40,000 votes to Mitt Romney’s 95,000 votes makes the case.

Either way, Huntsman’s heading to South Carolina to try it again. He may as well. He has infinite cash. His pops is like the original baller, shot caller! :D haha en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jon_Huntsman,_Sr. .. Dude *INVENTED* the “clamshell” container for McDonald’s Big Mac that we still use to this very day, so Huntsman may as well spend a bunch more money campaigning in SC, since it’s a drop in the bucket.

I’m also not sure that pulling fewer votes than Ron Paul makes the case, either.

New Hampshire was Jon Huntsman’s high water mark. He skipped Iowa entirely to campaign there this entire time, and he came away with 17% of the votes, compared to Romney’s 40%.

The Utah Primary doesn’t even happen until June www.2012presidentialelectionnews.com/2012-republican-primary-schedule/, and Huntsman should be out of the race WAAAAAAAY before June! :D

The way I see it, if he doesn’t do extremely well in South Carolina, he needs to hang it up with Perry.

I’m a fan of what Huntsman is saying and the way he carries himself and that he took Utah to #1 in job creation during his terms as Governor, but business is business. >:D

Romney

According to me, this sends Romney to the general election to attempt to defeat President Barack Obama.

At first, I saw this as slightly possible. Now, I don’t.

Through the first series of debates, the candidates didn’t want to say anything to or about Romney. This is because he was never the frontrunner. All these non-candidates were having surges which lasted as long as it took for the press to find out the very slightest things about them, and then the public was like “Nahhhhh! :/”.

So Romney got to stand there looking Presidential, without actually saying anything.

Now that people have realized that he’s the only candidate that was ever fielded by the Republicans this cycle, they’ve been going at him in real-time, and he’s been folding.

He offered a $10,000 bet to Rick Perry, knowing that he (Romney) is worth approximately 250 million dollars… Are you ******* KIDDING??? >:D

Romney worth up to $264 million; earned up to $68,000 per speech before campaign

Republican presidential hopeful Mitt Romney, who made part of his fortune as co-founder of a private equity firm, and his wife have personal financial assets worth as much as $264 million, according to disclosure documents filed Friday.

The records suggest that Romney may have seen a small, but limited, drop in wealth during one of the nation’s worst economic downturns, with a maximum asset value about 8 percent lower than what he reported during his first White House bid in 2007.

The numbers underscore an issue that poses both a benefit and a challenge for the former Massachusetts governor, who points to his business experience as evidence of his ability to lead the country.

But Romney, who grew up in a wealthy family before expanding his fortunes at the Bain Capital equity firm, also has struggled to portray himself as a candidate in touch with the lives of regular voters.

Since then, he’s said and done a bunch of other stuff that give away that fact that (rightfully so, because he’s always been rich) he’s not in touch with American workers AT. ALL.

Most importantly, he’s committed unforced errors as well as having been baited into errors by the likes of such debate geniuses as Rick Perry.

It’s become apparent that as long as Romney has memorized his flash cards, he can seem like he’s giving a spontaneous, intelligent presentation, but as soon as he tries to ad-lib, he ends up staying stupid-but-authentic things like “I like being able to fire people who provide services to me”:

YouTube Link => youtu.be/nBfWB64iHAs

The link I posted has the entire context of what he was talking about, which was insurance providers, but the important part is that you can see and hear the change in his demeanor. :) He was running his mouth and as soon as he said that, people in the crowd started chuckling, and you see Romney go “OH ****! :O” and every word he says after that is like BUH-B, BUH-B, stumbling and bumbling all over the place, because he got nervous, realizing that he had tipped his hand.

The short version of that video that only has him saying “I like being able to fire people who provide services to me” will be played over and over, whenever he attempts to run for *ANY* public office for the rest of his life.

This indicates to me that Romney will continue to commit these gaffes, to the ultimate delight of the people in charge of Obama’s reelection campaign, and also that when he finally has to debate Barack Obama, he’s going to get sorely embarrassed every time he’s forced outside of his cue-card comfort zone.

Hail To The Chief

So, No.. I’m not seeing it anymore. I feel like the 2012 Republican nomination process has provided the blueprint / roadmap for the reelection of our current President, Barack Obama.

The extraneous, unelectable “candidates” will continue to buzz around and create more anti-Romney media for the Democrats to use in the general election.

If they were smart / unselfish, they would decide on one of them to be nominated and all the rest of them would drop out.

In a two-person contest, you can’t win with 39.4% of the vote. :D

In a three-person contest, you have very good odds of winning with those many votes. There are currently six people involved, and there shouldn’t be.

Perry should drop out because it’s clear that people don’t see him as smart enough to be able to defeat President Obama in the general election.

Santorum should drop out unless he has a string of religious endorsements coming up very soon.

Huntsman should drop out if his message doesn’t resonate in South Carolina, because that means his gambit didn’t work and probably won’t work during the rest of the nomination process.

Gingrich should drop out because he’s been statistically eliminated by Romney’s Super PAC’s onslaught of negative ads about him, and he’ll never recover from that.

Ron Paul *SHOULDN’T* drop out, because he’s having the time of his life! :D

YouTube Link => youtu.be/Da6irSCvnZY

Play On, Playah!!! >:D hahaha Get Yo’ *CELEBRATE* On! :D hahaha

But, Yeah.. When the dust settles, Romney is going to be the nominee, but his fellow Republicans will have researched and revealed so many flaws in his background, ideas, style and personality that it’ll be a cakewalk for the Obama team to trounce him in the general election.
–
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Send In The Clowns

I told you from the beginning that this cycle’s selection of Republican candidates is an absolute clown show, to put it kindly.

I also asked two main questions. The first one was “Where are the broke (poor) Republicans?”. The second was “How come none of the better Republicans (Chris Christie, Paul Ryan, etc) want to run, if they think it’s going to be so easy to defeat President Obama in 2012?”.

I was previously done talking about this tomfoolery, but the last few days, the pundits have been talking about something they hadn’t mentioned this entire time…

Beat The Clock

When the Republicans were crying for Chris Christie to run, ALLLLL the pundits were saying that he only had until X date, because after that, he couldn’t register for the first primary, etc.

When that date passed, the pundits INSISTED that this keystone-cops’esque group of candidates were the only ones that could POSSIBLY be nominated.

This remained in effect for a couple of months, I suppose. Meanwhile, it had become clear to me that the only Republican candidate that stood a chance of defeating Obama in 2012 was Romney. This was because Huntsman, who I think is a way better candidate, has been polling at less than 5% this entire time (being generous.. I’m actually not sure he was ever above 3%), and other than him, all the other candidates have offended just about everyone in the country, pandering to “The Right”, and they wouldn’t possibly get any votes from independents that would put them anywhere near to a victory in the general election.

For instance.. Michele Bachmann has been running around saying she wants to deport 12 million illegal aliens. This is because nobody had asked her what Bill O’Reilly finally asked her to her face, which was “How do you plan to do that? o_O”. Her answer was “Enforce the laws that aren’t currently being enforced”.

Obviously, that doesn’t make ANY SENSE, because you can only enforce laws against people who BREAK. THE. LAW., so O’Reilly asked her if she understood how costly it was going to be to go door-to-door, finding the 12 million aliens, arresting them, processing them, and flying them out of the country. Of course, she had no reply for that, because her plan was stupid to begin with. It’s just NONSENSE she was talking in order to try to be nominated, just like waving a magic wand and creating $2 gasoline in a free market economy (about which she has ALSO not offered a viable plan).

Then, you have Santorum saying something ridiculous every week. He’ll be off the stage soon. I predict he’ll have enough after the first round of voting, which is coming up in 3-4 weeks. SEEYA! >:D

Then, there was Cain, talking about electrified fences and drones to keep Mexicans in Mexico. Haven’t heard jack-**** from him in a full week, ever since he “suspended” his campaign. SEEYA! >:D

Then, you have Ron Paul, who has really, really good ideas, assuming you live in the gold-rush era of the United States Wild West. :) Basically, his idea for life is “Every man for himself”. Get rid of federal this and that, and if your house floats down the river, it sucks to be you. He won’t be nominated, and he MOST CERTAINLY will never be elected President.

Then, you have Perry, who was at the top of the statistics until the first time he opened his mouth… From then on, it’s been one glaring embarrassment after another, and even before all of his gaffes, President Obama was being kind to him… I should say, before AMERICA heard all of Perry’s blunders. I’m sure there’s an entire file full of them that Obama was already aware of by the time he made this statement:

YouTube Link => youtu.be/PYzmzzA9dTY

President Obama: “You know.. Mr. Perry just got in the Presidental race, and I think that everybody who runs for President, it probably takes them a little bit of time before they start realizing that this isn’t like running for Governor or running for Senator or running for Congress, and you’ve gotta be a little more careful about what you say.. But I’ll cut him some slack, he’s only been at it for a few days now”

And then it was just downhill, downhill, downhill, downhill…

So the only person left that hasn’t completely, utterly, absolutely disqualified himself from the race is Gingrich. He’s currently receiving all the Not-Romney or Anti-Romney or Anybody-But-Romney poll votes.

So, it would seem that since Romney can’t get past 25% EVAR in the polls, that now that Gingrich is pulling higher numbers, Republicans would be talking Gingrich, Gingrich, Gingrich now, right?…

WRONG! :D

What?… Who?

The last few days, I’ve been hearing about JEB BUSH, who was never a part of this process AT ALL, from the giddyap!

Of course, I wondered if maybe someone made a mistake, but a different pundit mentioned his name, and a different pundit on a different station, and I was like WTF is going on here? o_O

ALL OF A SUDDEN, what they’re talking about is a “Brokered Convention”

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brokered_convention

A brokered convention is a situation in United States politics in which there are not enough delegates ‘won’ during the presidential primary and caucus elections for a single candidate to have a pre-existing majority, during the first official vote for a political party’s presidential-candidate at its nominating convention.

Once the first ballot, or vote, has occurred, and no candidate has a majority of the delegates’ votes, the convention is then considered brokered; thereafter, the nomination is decided through a process of alternating political horse-trading, and additional re-votes.[1][2][3][4] In this circumstance, all regular delegates (who, previously, were pledged to the candidate who had won their respective state’s primary or caucus election) are “released,” and are able to switch their allegiance to a different candidate before the next round of balloting. It is hoped that this ‘freedom’ will result in a re-vote resulting in a clear majority of delegates for one candidate.

Do you think the pundits might have mentioned this MONTHS AGO? :D ******* IDIOTS! :D

Start From Scratch

If this circus act becomes a Brokered Convention, the Republicans can turn around and nominate anybody they want, so they can easily replace one of these clowns with a viable Republican candidate.

How might this happen?

http://www.salon.com/2011/11/23/the_gop_needs_a_brokered_convention/singleton/” rel=”nofollow”>www.salon.com/2011/11/23/the_gop_needs_a_brokered_convention/singleton/

Less noticed, but no less important, is the new GOP voting system, which is set up for early primary and caucus states to vote first, followed by all other proportionally allocated delegate states next. From April 1 on, the winner-take-all primary and caucus states will vote. That means a weak front-runner can earn victories in early states without taking a commanding share of that state’s delegates, while several challengers can lose, but still rack up a decent delegate total.

Ron Paul, for instance, is often overlooked by the media as a factor because his ceiling of support in the polls appears to be between 10 and 15 percent. But since his floor of support isn’t far below that, he will be able to pick up a chunk of delegates who won’t be available to Romney. The same will be true for Michele Bachmann and Rick Perry if they stay in the race — and the latter has plenty of cash still on hand.

But Not Mitt Romney won’t be on the ballot, right? Well, yes and no. Several candidates who aren’t Mitt Romney are likely to be on the ballot in all 50 states. If a majority of the party agrees on nothing more than Not Mitt Romney, the real Mitt Romey cannot enter April with a majority of delegates. If Romney is able to climb to even 30 percent nationally in the pre-April states — something he hasn’t done in a single national poll — and wins a corresponding percentage of the vote, he would still have only 349 delegates. That means he would need to capture 868 of the 1,217 winner-take-all delegates to capture the nomination through the primary process. His only hope is that the other candidates have dropped out.

And, if they do, why exactly would the party leaders step in to save Romney’s nomination? Rather than settle for a nominee incapable of generating enthusiasm, they could use the convention to find a candidate more in tune with the Republican voters.

BOOYAH!!! :D HAHAHA Enter Jeb Bush!!! >:D

So the final joke might be on everybody watching these shenanigans.

If Romney splits all the delegates before April with Gingrich, Paul & Perry (Bachmann & Santorum will be out of the race looooong before then) and then loses pathetically in the South, because they don’t feel like voting for a Mormon, all this may have been for nothing, as the Republicans nominate whomever they like for the general election, including Chris Christie, Paul Ryan or anybody else that formerly claimed they weren’t going to run.

Thinkin’ Of A Master Plan

Unfortunately for the Republicans, by the time that happens, their obstructionist tactics and blatant disregard for the poor will have fully backfired on them and it won’t matter who they send to lose to Obama.

If this workers’ tax cut and extended unemployment benefits plan isn’t passed, the blame will be placed on Republicans, every single day, from now until election day.

If nobody gets a job, it will be blamed on the Republicans, every day.

If the troops that just returned home can’t find work, it will be blamed on the Republicans, every day.

Oh.. I forgot Gingrich.. I fully expect him to self-destruct before he gains enough delegates to be nominated. He SHOULD, however, be able to block Romney enough to catalyze the Brokered Convention.

I’d like to believe that this is the actual Republican master plan.. That they have some super-nominee waiting in the wings, practicing INTELLIGENT answers about foreign policy, prepping debate skills, and practicing speeches.

Having seen them send Palin last cycle, I think that concept is highly unlikely, and I continue to be amazed and amused that the Republicans REFUSE to send their best & brightest to challenge Barack Obama for the Presidency of the United States of America.
–
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I still say the Republicans haven’t fielded their real Presidential Candidates yet, and they’re using the current set as bait, to see how the Democrats treat them and how their ideas are received by the American public.

The names I mentioned a long time ago, Chris Christie and Paul Ryan are popping up more and more frequently on the talk shows, while the Republican pundits look and sound less and less confident of their chances to defeat President Obama in the upcoming election, as well they should.

I had wanted to talk about specifics about last night’s Google / Fox News debate, but the candidates’ commentary and behavior was redundant, so I’m just going to keep this very simple, so simpletons can understand this.

Whomever the Republicans send to the big dance is GOING. TO. HAVE. TO. DEBATE. BARACK. OBAMA.

The point, in ghetto-speak, is “You’re going to have to be MAD NICE WITH YOUR VERBAL SKILLZ or else The President’s going to CLOWN YOU, SUNN! >:D”

We all saw what happened to Trump:

YouTube Link => http://youtu.be/k8TwRmX6zs4

That was reading from a prepared script.

If Trump would have been allowed to speak and attempt to verbally battle President Obama, he would have gotten roasted even worse and embarrassed even more.

I bring this up because unless the Republicans send in some new, VIABLE candidates, the only two possibilities for them to send are Perry and Romney.

If they send Perry, I’m getting the popcorn and the DVR.

If they send Perry to debate one-on-one with Obama, pardon my French for a second, but the only term that can possibly adequately describe what’s going to happen is “Shit Show”.

I’m almost crying laughing right now, thinking about how badly Perry is going to get SERVED if the Republicans are so stupid as to send him against Obama.

It was all well & good when nobody had heard of Perry, and we were watching prepared sound bites that he was reading off of cue cards or watching him speak by himself, posing on a hay bale, but to see how verbally unpolished he is during direct confrontations with Romney and Santorum, neither of which are fantastic debaters either, it’s intuitively obvious that Perry’s going to sound really, really, REALLY BAD compared to Obama.

Listen to this ridiculousness:

YouTube Link => http://youtu.be/gd6H-0rJ74Q

You’re going to have to rewind it a few times, because his sentences don’t make any sense. This isn’t even debating, though.. This is responding to a clear and obvious question from a moderator.

Can. You. Imagine. what’s going to happen if he has to debate BARACK OBAMA??? :D HAHAHAHAHA

http://www.nytimes.com/1990/02/06/us/first-black-elected-to-head-harvard-s-law-review.html

The Harvard Law Review, generally considered the most prestigious in the country, elected the first black president in its 104-year history today. The job is considered the highest student position at Harvard Law School.

The new president of the Review is Barack Obama, a 28-year-old graduate of Columbia University who spent four years heading a community development program for poor blacks on Chicago’s South Side before enrolling in law school.

Don’t do it to yourselves, Republicans. It is NOT going to be pretty.
–
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Whomever you think is the best candidate, it’s in your best interest to VOTE this Tuesday, November 4th, 2008 in the United States Presidential Election.

Bre Pettis, Justin Johnson, Clint Comer and I are all releasing new videos every weekday of November 2008, and re-releasing “old” videos every Saturday and Sunday. Check the far right sidebar for avatars with links to their videoblogs.

My first contribution is this video I made in March, 2008 which shows how to scene-match video footage using filters in Final Cut Pro. I figured I’d bring it back since the election’s so close, and it reminds me of how different things were back in March, before the Democrats or Republicans had selected their representatives and before their representatives had selected their running mates.

It’s been interesting. Let’s see what happens on the 4th! :D
~Bill

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